Описание
Ключови думи Чуждоезична
Език Английски
Брой страници 366
Тегло 310

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What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? And, why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the 'experts', "The Black Swan" shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty. "Mindblowing... a masterpiece. " Chris Anderson, author of The Long Tail "Hugely enjoyable compelling. " Financial Times "A deeply intelligent, provocative book. " Economist
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